Why is the Houston ship channel so significant?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on June 08, 2022Dr. Perryman describes why the expansion of this channel is a good sign for Texas.
How high are home mortgage rates?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on April 19, 2022Dr. Perryman walks through the status of home ownership and how that relates to the economy at large.
What is the outlook for the Texas economy?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on February 22, 2022Dr. Perryman compares the state to the national averages and explains the factors contibuting to Texas' success.
Perryman Group Services
Firm Brochure Published on June 03, 2022The Perryman Group is an economic and financial analysis firm that provides clients with thoroughly researched, well-documented, carefully considered answers to complex questions covering numerous practice areas including litigation & regulatory services, impact assessment, economic modeling & forecasting, valuation, economic development & strategic planning, and public policy.
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The Long‑Term Outlook for the US Economy
Column Published in syndication November 09, 2022Gazing out over the next few decades, I see at least three major challenges confronting the US economy. First, we have to overcome the consequences of the lingering effects of the pandemic, including getting inflation under control, dealing with the inevitable fallout that effort will involve, and working through ongoing supply chain disruptions. Second, we must confront the chronic worker shortages. Third, we need to fashion a realistic energy policy which both meets climate goals and provides for future essential resources (more on that another time).
A 7% Solution?
Column Published in syndication November 02, 2022The rate on 30-year mortgages has topped 7% for the first time in more than 20 years. The sharp rise from about 3% just a year ago is causing fallout for homebuyers and the housing market. While the current situation is going to be costly from several perspectives, a market crash akin to the Great Recession of 2008 is NOT in our future. Let’s briefly explore.
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Hot and Dry
Column Published in syndication July 13, 2022Virtually all of Texas is now abnormally dry. Comparisons to the bone-dry days of 2011 have begun, and it's not looking good. In fact, given the scope of the drought and the higher costs of inputs, agricultural losses across the state are likely to top 2011's record $7.6 billion total.
Changing Channel
Column Published in syndication June 08, 2022A few years ago, I was asked to name the major events that shaped the Texas we know today. High on the list was the development of Allen's Landing and the Port of Houston during the early days of the Republic and the subsequent efforts at the dawn of the twentieth century to develop a deep-water channel in the area just as the oil industry was emerging. Without this critical infrastructure, Texas could not have become a vital hub of global commerce. I am tempted to say "and the rest is history" – but, in reality, it is also the future.
On the Path
Column Published in syndication February 16, 2022The US economy continues to recover from the pandemic. Even in the midst of challenges both domestically and internationally, our latest projections call for expansion over the next five years. Here's an overview of some key patterns influencing the outlook.