What reports and numbers are used to make an economic forecast?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on November 18, 2016

Dr. Perryman describes some of the reports he uses in his economic forecasts.

What is Dr. Perryman's short‑term economic forecast for Texas?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on November 14, 2016

Dr. Perryman marks the thirty-third year of his economic outlook conferences, so what's his short-term forecast for Texas?

The Outlook for US Economic Recovery
Column Published in syndication July 29, 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic continues. Following significant surges in many states, signals in late July (at least as I am writing) have been modestly encouraging, with case numbers beginning to level off and COVID-related emergency room visits trending downward. Nonetheless, it will be a while before daily life or the economy can approach normal.

Economic Forecast for Texas' Small and Mid‑Sized Metropolitan Areas
Column Published in syndication May 29, 2019

Communities across Texas are contributing to economic growth. Although the state's largest metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) are where the lion's share of economic activity occurs, most of the smaller population centers are also performing well. For example, the Midland, Amarillo, Lubbock, and Odessa MSAs have been ranking among the lowest unemployment rates in the state. My latest forecast calls for notable growth in each of these important regional centers of business activity.

The Economic Forecast for Texas' Largest Metropolitan Areas
Column Published in syndication May 22, 2019

Texas' most populous metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) typically drive overall economic growth, with a large and growing majority of business activity and job gains. Over the next five years, The Perryman Group's forecast indicates that the Dallas and Austin areas will lead the way in output and employment growth, followed closely by the San Antonio and Houston areas. As context, the Texas economy is expected to see output (real gross product or RGP) growth at a 3.82% annual pace, while employment expands at a 2.02% annual rate.

Economic Forecast for Texas' Smaller Metropolitan Areas
Column Published in syndication February 08, 2017

By 2021, I am projecting that the 19 smaller Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) will add a total of about 215,000 net new jobs to the state. The growth rates over the period, which spans the 2016 to 2021 time horizon, will vary markedly. Some areas will outpace the state rate of expansion, while others will grow more slowly.

Economic Forecast for Texas' Largest Metropolitan Areas
Column Published in syndication January 18, 2017

Texas' largest metropolitan areas are the source of the majority of the state's business activity, and what goes on in these major population centers affects companies, families, and communities statewide. Over the next five years, we are forecasting that the greater Austin area will continue to lead the way, with several other major cities also outpacing the statewide rate of growth.

The Economic Forecast for Texas
Column Published in syndication December 28, 2016

The resilience of the Texas economy with the end of the oil surge has surprised many, and prospects for continued expansion are encouraging. For the first 11 months of 2016, the state added 164,000 positions, exceeding the pace of 2015 (with 140,400 net new jobs over the first 11 months). In September, Texas experienced the strongest employment gain in more than two years (up by 38,300), with hiring continuing since that time and 20,900 net new jobs added according to the latest data release (November). Expansion has occurred in most industry segments.