Publications | The Perryman Group
What does the IMF expect for global growth in 2024?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on October 12, 2023

Dr. Perryman discusses the International Monetary Fund's expectation for slower global economic growth in 2024.

ARPA‑H
Column Published in syndication October 04, 2023

Texas has been selected as the site of a major new federal initiative aimed at improving health. The Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health (ARPA-H) is tasked with supporting biomedical and health breakthroughs. The agency has chosen three hubs (Texas, Cambridge, and Washington DC). Dallas will host the Customer Experience Hub, with Austin, Houston, and San Antonio also heavily involved. A collaboration among these cities and a wide array of business and community leaders across the state provided the impetus for Texas to secure this vital project. I was pleased to be involved in the process, and my firm generated underlying data and analysis to support the effort.

China is experiencing a problem with deflation.
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on October 04, 2023

Dr. Perryman discusses China's deflation problem.

Household Debt
Column Published in syndication September 27, 2023

Household debt in the United States is at an all-time high - more than $17 trillion. Of that amount, the lion's share, almost $12.4 trillion, is for housing, and credit card obligations recently topped $1 trillion. These are big numbers, and they are rising. The question is whether they are a cause for concern. The short answer is "not really" given current conditions, though there are some underlying issues which bear watching.

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The High Cost of the Opioid Crisis
Newsletter Published on October 02, 2023 (Vol. 40, No. 06)

The opioid crisis is nothing short of tragic. At the same time, it involves substantial economic harm. In this issue, results of The Perryman Group's recent assessment of the economic costs of the opioid crisis are summarized.

Dallas will be one of three national hubs for ARPA‑H.
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on September 28, 2023

Dr. Perryman discusses the importance of Dallas being named one of three national hubs for ARPA-H.

Staying Put
Column Published in syndication September 20, 2023

More than any other state, people born in Texas stay in Texas. The US Bureau of the Census recently released data indicating the state of residence by place of birth. When you look at the percentage of people born in Texas, still living in the United States and, in fact, still living in Texas, you get more than 82% as of 2021. That's considerably higher than anywhere else.

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The Economic Impact of the Auto Workers Strike
Brief Published on September 21, 2023

The United Auto Workers (UAW) union is in the midst of an unprecedented "stand-up strike" against the three major US auto manufacturers, presently shutting down US factories in Ohio, Michigan, and Missouri; idling 12,700 union workers; and disrupting other parts of the supply chain. These interruptions come at a time when the industry was just beginning to normalize in the aftermath of the pandemic. Given the scope of affected operations, the economic costs of the strike are high and could well increase substantially if the work stoppages are prolonged and expanded.

What did the Fed do regarding interest rates at its latest meeting?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on September 21, 2023

Dr. Perryman discusses the Fed's latest actions on interest rates.

LNG
Column Published in syndication September 13, 2023

The United States now exports more liquefied natural gas (LNG) than any other country. It's a relatively new development, with Australia and Qatar usually topping the rankings in the past. The volume of US exports has surged over the past few years, with major new facilities coming online and strong global demand. While Australia and Qatar volumes have been fairly stable since 2018, US exports have basically quadrupled.