Publications | The Perryman Group
The Five‑Year Outlook for the US Economy
Column Published in syndication May 20, 2026

Although indicators are somewhat mixed, the US economy generally continues to demonstrate modest growth even when confronted with significant challenges. Labor market performance has remained relatively stable, and capital investment continues (particularly in data centers and AI). Let's explore some of the patterns shaping our outlook for the next five years.

Inflation
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on May 25, 2026

Dr. Perryman discusses inflation.

What could reshape the global economy?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on May 21, 2026

Dr. Perryman discusses industries that could change the global economy.

What is a K‑shaped economy?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on May 20, 2026

Dr. Perryman discusses the K-shaped economy.

What is the debt to GDP ratio?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on May 19, 2026

Dr. Perryman discusses the debt to GDP ratio.

Malevolent Milestone
Column Published in syndication May 13, 2026

The US national debt recently crossed an ignoble threshold, exceeding gross domestic product (GDP) for the first time since World War II. Budget deficits are high and accelerating, escalating debt levels rapidly despite a relatively strong economy.

How many jobs did Texas add in March?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on May 18, 2026

Dr. Perryman discusses the Texas jobs gains for March.

How did the April jobs report look?
Radio Spot Broadcast via Texas State Networks on May 13, 2026

Dr. Perryman discusses the April jobs report.

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The Five‑Year Outlook for the US Economy
Newsletter Published on May 13, 2026 (Vol. 43, No. 02)

The US economy is currently facing significant challenges and uncertainties but has thus far remained fairly stable. The Perryman Group's latest projections call for expansion over the next five years, though the path will likely be irregular and backloaded. Highlights are included in this issue.

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Displaced: The Impact of Continuum of Care Cuts on Tarrant County and Texas
Brief Published on May 12, 2026

Recent reductions in Federal Continuum of Care funding are expected to increase the number of people without shelter in Tarrant County and many other areas. Approximately 850 persons will be displaced in Tarrant County and almost 10,000 throughout Texas. In addition to the immeasurable human cost of these cuts in support, there are also tangible adverse economic consequences to local areas such as increased health care expenses, crime and incarceration costs, and lost economic productivity and earnings.