Column Published in syndication January 12, 2022

Literally since the pandemic began, I have cautioned that, unlike previous economic dislocations, this one is inextricably linked to a health crisis. Complete recovery can only occur when we reach the point of peaceful coexistence with the virus. Nowhere is this phenomenon more evident than in the job market.

Goodbye 2021!
Column Published in syndication January 05, 2022

As we turn the page to a new year, I am relieved to say that from an economic perspective, things are definitely looking up. There are clearly challenges ahead, but this year should bring improvement in significant ways. Let's take a quick look at progress made and obstacles faced in 2021.

The Long‑Term Economic Forecast for Texas Metropolitan Areas
Column Published in syndication December 29, 2021

Metropolitan areas across Texas have regained most of the jobs lost due to COVID-19. While growth that would have otherwise occurred has been foregone or at least delayed, the long-term outlook remains quite positive.

Getting Ahead
Column Published in syndication December 22, 2021

The latest jobs report for Texas is replete with good news. November data shows strength across the economy and a new record for total state employment. In less than two years, Texas has completely overcome the devastating loss of about 1.5 million jobs that occurred in early 2020.

A Most Remarkable Number!
Column Published in syndication December 15, 2021

It is no exaggeration to say that I have seen millions of numbers every week since the late 1970s (comments regarding my social life are neither encouraged nor welcomed). On those rare occasions when one startles me, I can't help but mention it.

Column Published in syndication December 08, 2021

Inflation by some measures is at 30-year highs, hitting many families hard. It's complicated, but there are basically two things happening. Let's take a closer look.

Coming Back!!
Column Published in syndication December 01, 2021

In early 2020, COVID-19 plunged the economy into freefall, abruptly reversing a historic expansion. Although the sharp declines only persisted for about two months, almost 1.5 million jobs disappeared across Texas. The loss of income and financial security for millions of families and small businesses added to the immeasurable human costs and tragic loss of life associated with the pandemic and measures required to slow its spread.

The Long‑Term Outlook for the Texas Economy
Column Published in syndication November 24, 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic led to significant economic disruption, but the Texas economy continues to recover. Recently released October data indicate that the seasonally adjusted Texas unemployment rate continues to fall and now stands at 5.4%. Texas added 56,600 jobs for the month and has almost recovered to pre-pandemic levels. While issues such as supply-chain challenges and inflation will likely linger over the coming months, the long-term outlook for the state remains favorable.

Missing Persons
Column Published in syndication November 17, 2021

The concept of a Census to identify and enumerate the population of an area dates back more than 5,000 years. Accurate Census counts are important to ensuring adequate federal funding for various programs and appropriate representation in Congress. In addition, the Census is crucial to understanding population and demographic trends to plan for the future.

The Long‑Term Outlook for the US Economy
Column Published in syndication November 10, 2021

The Perryman Group's most recent long-term forecast for the US economy calls for notable expansion. Things have improved significantly since the worst of the pandemic, but previous activity levels have not yet been reached. The upward trend should continue (though business cycles are inevitable).