Post Thumbnail
The Potential Economic Impact of Legislation Restricting Voter Access on Business Activity in Texas
Brief Published on April 09, 2021

Laws which restrict voter access can have substantial negative economic consequences due to lost earnings and related reductions in consumer spending. In addition, irrespective of their stated purpose, controversial laws can also lead to reductions in travel and tourism and economic development.

Post Thumbnail
Preliminary Estimates of Economic Costs of the February 2021 Texas Winter Storm
Brief Published on February 25, 2021

The recent extreme winter weather is unprecedented in Texas. Records were shattered, and the demands on the power grid were exceptional. When brutal conditions took down about 40% of generation capacity (wind turbines and conventional plants alike), disaster struck. Most people had to deal with power outages (sometimes for days in freezing temperatures) and millions had no water (again for an extended period).

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Cost of the 500,000 Lives Lost to COVID‑19
Brief Published on February 23, 2021

The United States recently reached a tragic milestone in the COVID-19 pandemic when the number of lives lost reached 500,000. The suffering and hardships imposed by these losses are incalculable and the primary concern, with few Americans not personally affected in some way

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Cost of COVID‑19 Fatalities in 2020
Brief Published on January 06, 2021

The high human cost and loss of life due to COVID-19 is tragic and staggering. Few people have remained untouched by the disease in one way or another, with over 20 million US cases. As of the end of 2020, the coronavirus had contributed to the death of nearly 345,000 people in the United States. While the suffering and hardships imposed by these losses are incalculable and the primary concern, the economic consequences cannot be ignored.

Post Thumbnail
Dr. Perryman's Response to the 2020 Election
Brief Published on November 08, 2020

From an economic perspective, it is rare that Presidents move the needle much on economic growth. Historically, the economy has fared moderately better in Democratic administrations, but the difference is small and not necessarily caused by the President. In terms of policy, the ability to implement major initiatives will be highly dependent on the outcome of the two senate races in Georgia.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and Its Major Metro Areas: Recovery Slows, but Continues
Brief Published on October 22, 2020

The most recent employment data indicates that the pace of hiring in Texas has slowed. In September, 40,700 net new jobs were added, compared to 111,900 in August. Moreover, the unemployment rate rose and is now higher than the national level. While this slowing is not good news, it was not unexpected.

Post Thumbnail
Preliminary Estimate of Economic Harm from Hurricane Laura
Brief Published on September 01, 2020

Category 4 Hurricane Laura made landfall just after midnight on August 27, 2020 in Cameron Parish, Louisiana, about 35 miles east of the Texas border. While the damage was significant, the economic costs could have been far worse. The Perryman Group estimates that if the storm had made landfall as a direct hit on one of the nearby refining and petrochemical areas (such as Beaumont), the economic losses could have been 8 to 10 times as large as preliminary damage estimates have indicated.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and Its Major Metro Areas: Recovery from COVID‑19 Begins as the Economy Reopens
Brief Published on July 29, 2020

May and June jobs reports for Texas and the state's largest metropolitan areas were encouraging and reflect the fact that as businesses began to reopen, what was essentially a sound economy before the pandemic responded relatively quickly. Nonetheless, employment remains well below pre-COVID-19 levels. The Perryman Group's latest forecast calls for significant year-over-year losses for 2020, but notable recovery next year. If additional interruptions are required as a result of the recent surge in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in Texas, the annual declines will escalate.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for the United States: Recovery from COVID‑19 Begins as the Economy Reopens
Brief Published on July 27, 2020

The most recent US jobs reports indicate significant gains and decreasing unemployment, but the total increase over the past two months is far below losses during March and April. Moreover, the recent increase in COVID-19 infections may cause the recovery to slow. The situation remains challenging and fluid, and the recovery will likely be bumpy.

Post Thumbnail
Supreme Court DACA Ruling Preserves Millions of Jobs
Brief Published on June 23, 2020

The US Supreme Court recently ruled to preserve DACA, the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. DACA allows individuals who came to the US as children to remain under certain conditions and was implemented in 2012. Since that time, about 800,000 people have received protection under the act, which requires that recipients either be in school or be employed. Although the decision does not permanently secure the program, it provides critical near-term security to the affected group.