Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and Its Major Metro Areas: Recovery Slows, but Continues
Brief Published on October 22, 2020

The most recent employment data indicates that the pace of hiring in Texas has slowed. In September, 40,700 net new jobs were added, compared to 111,900 in August. Moreover, the unemployment rate rose and is now higher than the national level. While this slowing is not good news, it was not unexpected.

Post Thumbnail
Preliminary Estimate of Economic Harm from Hurricane Laura
Brief Published on September 01, 2020

Category 4 Hurricane Laura made landfall just after midnight on August 27, 2020 in Cameron Parish, Louisiana, about 35 miles east of the Texas border. While the damage was significant, the economic costs could have been far worse. The Perryman Group estimates that if the storm had made landfall as a direct hit on one of the nearby refining and petrochemical areas (such as Beaumont), the economic losses could have been 8 to 10 times as large as preliminary damage estimates have indicated.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and Its Major Metro Areas: Recovery from COVID‑19 Begins as the Economy Reopens
Brief Published on July 29, 2020

May and June jobs reports for Texas and the state's largest metropolitan areas were encouraging and reflect the fact that as businesses began to reopen, what was essentially a sound economy before the pandemic responded relatively quickly. Nonetheless, employment remains well below pre-COVID-19 levels. The Perryman Group's latest forecast calls for significant year-over-year losses for 2020, but notable recovery next year. If additional interruptions are required as a result of the recent surge in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in Texas, the annual declines will escalate.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for the United States: Recovery from COVID‑19 Begins as the Economy Reopens
Brief Published on July 27, 2020

The most recent US jobs reports indicate significant gains and decreasing unemployment, but the total increase over the past two months is far below losses during March and April. Moreover, the recent increase in COVID-19 infections may cause the recovery to slow. The situation remains challenging and fluid, and the recovery will likely be bumpy.

Post Thumbnail
Supreme Court DACA Ruling Preserves Millions of Jobs
Brief Published on June 23, 2020

The US Supreme Court recently ruled to preserve DACA, the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. DACA allows individuals who came to the US as children to remain under certain conditions and was implemented in 2012. Since that time, about 800,000 people have received protection under the act, which requires that recipients either be in school or be employed. Although the decision does not permanently secure the program, it provides critical near-term security to the affected group.

Post Thumbnail
Buy the Basin: Potential Benefits to Increasing Local Purchases in the Permian Basin
Brief Published on June 05, 2020

Increasing local spending can lead to significant benefits in the Permian Basin Region including additional retail sales and jobs, as well as tax receipts to local entities. The Perryman Group estimated the economic benefits if people in the Region increased spending at local retail stores, restaurants, and personal services establishments to levels consistent with patterns in other areas. These amounts are fully adjusted to reflect goods and services that are available in the Permian Basin and income levels of area residents.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and the Midland MSA: Projected Recession and Recovery from COVID‑19
Brief Published on April 22, 2020

Drastic, but necessary, measures to "flatten the curve" and prevent a major spike in COVID-19 infections have involved shutting down much of the economy. The inevitable result has been the loss of millions of jobs and a sudden and unprecedented downturn.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and the Odessa MSA: Projected Recession and Recovery from COVID‑19
Brief Published on April 22, 2020

Drastic, but necessary, measures to "flatten the curve" and prevent a major spike in COVID-19 infections have involved shutting down much of the economy. The inevitable result has been the loss of millions of jobs and a sudden and unprecedented downturn.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for Texas and the Permian Basin: Projected Recession and Recovery from COVID‑19
Brief Published on April 22, 2020

Drastic, but necessary, measures to "flatten the curve" and prevent a major spike in COVID-19 infections have involved shutting down much of the economy. The inevitable result has been the loss of millions of jobs and a sudden and unprecedented downturn.

Post Thumbnail
The Economic Outlook for the US and Texas: Projected Recession and Recovery from COVID‑19
Brief Published on April 21, 2020

The Perryman Group's most recent economic projections for the US and Texas incorporate the potential effects of COVID-19. The forecast calls for significant losses this year, but a fairly rapid recovery is expected once the worst virus issues have passed.