Publications | The Perryman Group
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The Outlook for the US Economy
Newsletter Published on April 01, 2022 (Vol. 39, No. 01)

The outlook for the US economy remains positive as the COVID-19 pandemic wanes, though there are several risks to the pace of expansion. In this issue, key results from The Perryman Group's latest fiveyear forecast are summarized.

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The Economic Impact of a National Rail Strike
Brief Published on October 17, 2022

Rail is a crucial component of the US logistics system, and a strike would lead to significant logistical dislocations, exacerbate ongoing supply chain challenges, put additional upward pressure on prices and, thus, do substantial economic harm. Although a tentative agreement was reached between the major railways and union representatives (with the help of Biden Administration officials), it requires ratification by union members before going into effect. One of the largest of the 12 unions recently rejected the package, and concern has been expressed by several others.

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Economic Costs of Hurricane Ian Include an Estimated $36.7 Billion Net Loss in US Output
Brief Published on September 30, 2022

On September 28, Hurricane Ian made landfall along the southwest Florida coast causing severe wind damage and flooding. The loss of life and human suffering is of paramount importance and should be the primary concern, as well as enormous emotional losses. In addition, the storm will have a significant impact on the economy, which could rise if there is significant additional damage in South Carolina.

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The Economic Impact of the Texas Census Undercount
Brief Published on June 03, 2022

The US Census Bureau recently released the 2020 Census estimated undercount and overcount rates from its Post-Enumeration Survey. The results indicate that the Texas population was undercounted by 1.92%.

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The Importance of Russian Trade and Investment Activity to the Texas Economy
Brief Published on April 27, 2022

The recent invasion of Ukraine by Russia is generating questions regarding how important Russia is to the Texas economy, particularly as policies restricting trade and investment interactions are implemented or contemplated. While no area can escape the near-term disruptive effects related to the supply chain and inflation, the specific effects on business activity within the state are relatively minor. The Perryman Group recently analyzed patterns in Texas-Russia trade and investment to assess the extent of the linkages and related economic effects.

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The Economic Costs of the Recent Border Delays
Brief Published on April 20, 2022

Every day, thousands of trucks cross the Texas-Mexico border, bringing a variety of goods ranging from fruits and vegetables to electronic equipment. Cross-border supply chains are common, and manufacturing facilities on both sides of the border depend on the efficient flow of products across the border. The recent slowdowns due to additional inspections disrupted these patterns, resulting in not only spoilage of perishable items, but also production delays. Given the strained capacity at the border in normal times, it will be difficult and, in many instances, impossible to “catch up.”

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Blast Off!: Texas Surges Ahead in the New Space Race
Brief Published on February 17, 2022

As space travel became a realistic possibility, a “space race” developed, with the United States pitted against Russia to be the first to achieve milestones such as orbiting the earth and landing on the moon. Americans were glued to television screens in July 1969 as Neil Armstrong became the first human to step on the moon, and every previous and subsequent milestone has been the subject of intense interest among people in all walks of life. Texas was an integral part of this phenomenon and it left an indelible imprint on the culture and personality of the state.

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Brownsville State of the Port: 2022 Keynote Address
Video Delivered on April 14, 2022

Dr. Perryman provides an economic forecast for the Rio Grande Valley and the Port of Brownsville's role in connecting international trade to the region at the 2022 State of the Port Address.

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Perryman Group Services
Firm Brochure Published on June 03, 2022

The Perryman Group is an economic and financial analysis firm that provides clients with thoroughly researched, well-documented, carefully considered answers to complex questions covering numerous practice areas including litigation & regulatory services, impact assessment, economic modeling & forecasting, valuation, economic development & strategic planning, and public policy.